As the calendar turns to May, differentiating extended slumps from skill deterioration becomes an integral part of fantasy baseball.
In daily fantasy, price tags often move with performance. Players off to difficult starts will see their prices decline steadily and public interest wane as frustration mounts.
This creates a unique combination of value in both projection and ownership if you can identify those players most likely to rebound.
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One method to identify hitters likely to rebound is to look beyond their base statistics. Low batting averages can be the product of too many strikeouts, lots of weak contact, or both. They can also be the result of poor luck.
The first place to investigate extended slumps for hitters is looking at their ”BABIP,” which stands for Batting Average On Balls In Play. Typically around 30 percent of balls in play fall for hits. Players who deviate substantially from a range of .280-.320 on balls in play are likely to move t..